Intel (INTC) Update
This rally is not sustainable.
In our previous analysis, we shared our overall outlook for Intel. There, we presented both our long-term and short-term perspectives, which are illustrated in the chart.
We expect that Intel is currently in a corrective phase, forming light blue wave 2. This correction is anticipated to terminate within our defined Fibonacci retracement zone, which ranges as follows:
- 61.8% at $32.66
- 78.6% at $26.65
- 88.7% at $23.03
Within this zone, we expect the correction (light blue wave 2) to complete, after which Intel should follow our long-term outlook and begin forming a strong and sustainable uptrend.
However, Intel has recently exceeded its local high from light blue wave 1 at $54.60 very quickly and with strong bullish momentum. We interpret this move as an overshooting wave B—an unsustainable upward movement and a typical market exaggeration.
Therefore, we maintain our view that this is a corrective rally rather than the start of a new impulsive trend. We continue to expect a significant sell-off, with price moving down into our defined Fibonacci retracement zone.
In our view, the current short-term bullish movement is not sustainable, and we remain aligned with our original analysis and expectations.
If any structural changes occur, we will update you immediately.
Kind regards,
Monalytics
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